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From a fan's standpoint, UFC 231 is a wonderful occasion. In terms of betting opportunities, I'm feeling lukewarm. Nevertheless, here are my breakdowns of the fights I'm trying to playwith. Gilbert Burns vs. Olivier Aubin-Mercier Decorated jiu-jitsu winner and second degree black belt, Gilbert Burns, was operating on his striking in the past several years. Training beneath famed Dutch kickboxer, Henri Hooft, Burns is currently comfortable wherever the fight occurs. Together with his newfound striking skills, Burns scored strong knockout victories over Jason Saggo and Dan Moret. Regrettably, opting to bang Dan Hooker was devastating and Burns was violently finished in his final struggle. I lost money believing Burns would grapple -- oh well! While a solid striker, Burns takes dangers defensively and heaps up on his shots. Dan Hooker is the kind of fighter that could capitalize on defensive lapses -- but I am not sure Olivier Aubin-Mercier is. Coming from a judo history, Aubin-Mercier is immensely strong in the clinch and hefty from leading position. While he is much more skilled on the feet than he was, Aubin-Mercier still lacks the fluidity of someone that's a pure striker. He's light on his toes, out and in with his movement and somewhat tentative -- but is true when he flames. While Aubin-Mercier is a jiu-jitsu brown belt, I doubt he would like to go to the mat with Burns. The muscle-bound human blanket, Michel Prazeres, refused to dive into the guard of Gilbert Burns -- which speaks volumes. In his last battle, Aubin-Mercier appeared a step behind in the scrambles against Alexander Hernandez and I would anticipate a master of body manipulation such as Gilbert Burns to control the mat too (though I wish there was more footage of Burns fighting his back to make a better assessment). I think the striking exchanges will be aggressive, but I provide Burns a slight edge. Stylistically, this looks catchy for Aubin-Mercier and that I can't predict his strategy. Perhaps the Canadian will try and control his competitor against the weapon, but without shooting takedowns? I do believe Aubin-Mercier is the better athlete and has the cardio. However, I will take my chances with Gilbert Burns as a +120 underdog like I think he should be a small favorite. Elias Theodorou vs. Eryk Anders In a middleweight showdown between two boxers with contrasting designs (and personalities), Eryk Anders takes on Elias Theodorou. A fantastic athletic, Anders is volatile yet has great cardio. Fighting out of the southpaw stance, Anders packs enormous power in his left hand -- but in my view, goes head hunting a little too much. In his final bout, Thiago Santos was prepared for the key weapon of Anders -- which restricted his offensive victory. Read more here: http://www.469814.com/archives/4136